As conflicts ignite and burn and flicker out around the world, U.S.
officials assess the dangers they represent back home. Not all of these
conflicts directly threaten American interests, which is why the Council
on Foreign Relations conducts an annual survey to help U.S. leaders
prioritize threats in the year ahead. For the past decade, this survey
has focused on the risks posed to America by foreign actors. Now it’s
reckoning with the risks America poses to the world—and to itself.
“The
U.S. is now the most unpredictable actor in the world today, and that
has caused profound unease,” said Paul Stares, the director of CFR’s
Center for Preventive Action, which produces the annual survey. “You
used to be able to pretty much put the U.S. to one side and hold it
constant, and look at the world and consider where the biggest sources
of unpredictability, insecurity are. Now you have to include the U.S. in
that. … No one has high confidence how we [Americans]
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